The Dow pushed up through the 618% at 10,165/72 so that took out the Elliott wave structure downwards for the time being, however it has not taken out the last high of 10,408, So technically the Elliott count down is still in play, this is important to understand before jumping the gun and exiting or going long, the news that pushed the market overnight will be forgotten tomorrow.
The Dow pushed up through the 618% at 10,165/72 so that took
out the Elliott wave structure downwards for the time being, however it has not
taken out the last high of 10,408, So technically the Elliott count down is
still in play, this is important to understand before jumping the gun and
exiting or going long, the news that pushed the market overnight will be
forgotten tomorrow.
primarily, we need to realize if resistance becomes hold at
10,300, there are markets on their supports in Australia mainly, the Materials sphere,
as it is above the MediumLevel 11,500, in line with US BHP above 65 and local
BHP over 38, the banks on the extra hand are not supported they are facing
immunity, the Dow is on 10,000 which is sustain, we have been anticipating a
stop there, the similar with the XJO on 4300 support (Group1)
Gold is not on support; sure it has rallied and may lose
from 1200 or push to 1230 if the Dow pushes to 10600, although for now it is
under 1200.
Forex, the AUD will push higher leading stock, if the DXY
breaks done 82, it places it into a larger bearish picture for 80 and the Euro
above 1.30 this would vary the wave counts there, it hasn't occurred as still
and we need to see this played out.
It would be tempting to chase the resource today, if so keep
it tight and understand Copper is creating the first high above the level TL3
and will retest it, so expect a likely pull back and crude touching on 80 will
meet with a reaction, I saying don't get trapped, play a shorter time frame.
The ASX200 XJO is finding support at 4400 however it starts
running into supply and resistance at 4500, the 618% retrenchment is around
4700 and the 50% retrenchment at 4600, so there is resistance all above 4500,
so whatever happens at 4500 will set the scene for the next trend. There are a
kind of things that be able to happen, primarily, it is likely to oppose to
approximately degree, either failing at this level or gathering itself after
the reaction and climbing above creating the first high above the level then
retesting the level for support, but normally the first high above the level is
the top of the utmost tendency, so of here a larger shape would unfold
throughout 4500, ultimately finding support if this is the case we would be
trading long from here, the other point on the local markets is that stocks are
existing oversold and without the fear of the US to hold then down they will
move up quickly, so we also need a trading plan for that.
In a nutshell the resistances for the Dow at 10,500 and the
ASX200 at 4500 are the key points for the week ahead. If these levels become
support then we can expect higher moves, these events if they occur will take
time to develop we will be discussing the finer details of this possibility if
it unfolds.
| Additional articles about managed forex trading |
|
|
| About the author |
TradingLounge™.com.au and the TradingLevels™ Analysis Service have been developed by Peter Mathers to meet a growing demand for accessible, sensible education and his TradingLevels™-based analysis. Delivering high quality analysis and trades recommendations for shares, CFDs, cfd technical chart analysis, indices, commodity, the TradingLounge™ has been in strong demand growing from strength to strength. Peter is author of "Trading CFDs in Today's Markets". If you want to know more about trading analysis, click here. |
| Please Rate This Article |
Number of ratings: 0
Rating: 0