UK inflation slowed to 3.1% last month from 3.2% in June, marking the third consecutive month in which prices have been slower to rise than expected.
UK inflation slowed to 3.1% last month from 3.2% in June, marking the
third consecutive month in which prices have been slower to rise than
expected.
However, the Consumer Prices Index (CPI)
is still well above the target rate of 2% set by the Bank of
England.
According to the Office for National
Statistics (ONS), the Retail Prices Index (RPI) eased from 5% to 4.8%
in June.
Bank of England Governor Mervyn King has
once again been forced to write a letter to the chancellor of the
exchequer explaining the overshoot - the third letter of this kind in
the last 8 months.
The governor explained in his
letter that although the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) were
"surprised" by the recent strength of inflation, this was mainly as a
result of "temporary" factors.
These factors
included January's return to the 17.5% VAT after its temporary drop to
15% throughout the recession; rises to the cost of oil; and an increase
in import costs caused by depreciation in the pound since mid-
2007.
However, Mr King did say: "there remains a
significant probability that I will need to write further open letters
to you in the coming months".
The Bank recently
said it expected inflation to remain higher than originally forecasted
for coming months, which was largely due to the planned rise in VAT to
20% from January 2011.
However, Mr King said
inflation was likely to fall back below the Bank's 2% target in
2012.
The Chancellor George Osborne said there
were "significant uncertainties about the inflation outlook," in his
response to the governor's letter.
He also
highlighted that the Office for Budget Responsibility - the independent
body put in by the coalition government to measure public finances and
assess the economy - also forecasts that inflation will fall below 2% in
early 2012.
July inflation figures are followed
closely as they affect the rate at which future rail fares will
increase, which impacts long-distance off-peak journeys. This follows
earlier falls in 2010 after RPI hit -1.4% last July.
The main reason behind the inflation rate fall was a fall in
transport costs, particularly second-hand car prices and fuel
costs.
Other factors included a drop in the price
of clothing and footwear.
Those with
savings accounts are struggling to earn enough
interest on their funds to avoid them being eroded by inflation.
Basic rate tax payers currently need to find an
account paying 3.88%, while higher rate tax payers require 5.17%, a rate
that's unheard of in the current climate and one that could only get
close to meeting using
fixed rate bonds with lengthly
terms.
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