We are currently witnessing an unprecedented shift in Arab politics that has caught the whole world, even the Egyptians themselves by surprise.The uprising and it's epi-center Tahrir Square is the Arab world's version of the fall of the Berlin Wall.
We
are currently witnessing an unprecedented shift in Arab politics that
has caught the whole world, even the Egyptians themselves by
surprise. The uprising and it's epi-center Tahrir Square (Liberation
Square) is the Arab world's version of the fall of the Berlin Wall.
For many decades, the general Arab political discourse was defined by
the West as the need to strengthen pro-Western dictatorships because
of the fear of the alternative which is Iranian style Islamist
regimes. Now, the Tahrir Square movement has clearly forced the West
to rethink this perspective by showing that there is a third way –
the rise of broad based democratic movements that reject
totalitarianism and Islamic extremism. We should not fear this change
because its uncertain outcome, but rather embrace it and take an
active role in encouraging democratic change throughout the Arab
world.
Democratic
change in Egypt matters
greatly to the Arab world because it has historically set the
regional pattern of Arab politics. The Islamic Brotherhood which was
founded in 1928 by Hassan al-Banna in Egypt
eventually led to the establishment of numerous splinter groups
throughout the Middle East. And in 1952, Gemal Abdel Nasser helped
replace the monarchy with a pan-Arabist socialist system that also
spread to different parts of the Arab world. Gemal Abdul Nasser is
regarded as one of the most important figures in Arab history. Then
came Anwar Al-Sadat who signed a peace treaty with Israel in 1979.
This treaty had strategic repercussions throughout the Arab world and
in fact had weakened it by removing the most populous and powerful
Arab country from the Arab resistance camp. Finally, after Sadat's
assassination on October 6, 1981, President Mubarak ascended to the
Presidency where he immediately established a police state by
implementing "Emergency Rule" which to this day has not
been lifted. All these political patterns -- from Political Islam, to
Pan-Arabism, to the Arab-Israeli peace process, and authoritarianism,
have all failed. The Arab people have finally figured it out - it's
People Power.
Supporting
democracy in Egypt is good for America as it serves our national
interest for a number of reasons. First, dictatorships are
mortal -- they come and go, and we cannot always guarantee that a
pro-US dictator who will eventually die will be replaced with another
pro-US dictator. A democratic Egypt where its people share our values
of individual political freedoms, tolerance, plurality, and respect
for the rule of law will help build a broad based support for the
United States by the Egyptian people that will be long enduring.
Second, the establishment of a democratic Egypt that opens the
political system to a wide range of Egypt's political-ideological
continuum including the Islamic Brotherhood will ensure the
functioning of a viable and stable democracy. Incorporating the
Islamic Brotherhood into the political system, would further
marginalize extremist groups such as Al-Qaeda and its network of
splinter groups. Indeed, the Al-Qaeda leadership has been very
critical of the Egyptian Islamic Brotherhood for disavowing violence
as a form of resistance and for the Brotherhood's adherence to a
future Egyptian democratic state that is based on pluralism.
Third,
a shift in the balance of power in the Middle East away from Israel
will serve our national interest by making Israel realize that its
security is directly tied to making a strategic decision of achieving
a just peace with the Palestinians. For too long, the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict has created tremendous anger and
frustration amongst the Arab masses for their inability to help their
Palestinian brethren. This deep sense of hopelessness, is the most
important source of recruiting efforts of Al-Qaeda and other
extremist groups who may not care much about the Palestinian cause
but nonetheless, use its emotional intensity to recruit Islamic
Radicals. Indeed, captured Al-Qaeda recruiting and training videos
often included video clips of Palestinian victims of Israeli
aggression. In fact, in May 2010, , U.S. General David Petraeus
stated in a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing that "the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict was fomenting anti-American sentiment
due to the perception of U.S. favoritism towards Israel." There
is no doubt that resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is
extremely vital to our national interests.
Contrary
to conventional wisdom, the Arabs have been very forthcoming in peace
efforts with Israel. In 2002, the Arab league, consisting of 22
Arab countries offered for the very first time since Israel's
founding, a full and comprehensive peace settlement that would
normalize relations with Israel in return for Israeli withdrawal to
the pre 1967 borders as stipulated in UN Resolution 242. Israel
rejected it outright without even considering some of its elements.
More recently, the Palestinian version of Wikileaks where over 1000
pages on the Israeli-Palestinian peace process were leaked to the
press did show that the Palestinians were far more willing to
compromise than even the 2002 Arab League peace initiative. One such
leaked document showed that the Palestinians would accept Israel's
annexation of all settlement blocs in East Jerusalem except one, and
this peace offering was also rejected by the Israelis. Israel
rejected President Obama's call to extend the settlement freeze in
the interest of the peace process as it rejected every call from
every president since 1967 to stop building Jewish settlements in the
occupied territories. Even President Ronald Reagan stated in
September 1982 that "further settlement activity is in no way
necessary for the security of Israel and only diminishes the
confidence of the Arabs that a final outcome can be freely and fairly
negotiated." Israel's No, No, No policy is clearly harming our
interests in the region.
The
intransigence of Israel is because no US government official,
including the President of the United States can put effective
pressure on Israel because no politician wants to experience the
wrath of the pro-Israeli lobby. Moreover,President Mubarak, the head
of the most powerful Arab country has been the hired sheriff for
Israel for three decades. Israel is so powerful that it sees no
strategic interest in making peace with the weak and isolated
Palestinians.In essence, the current status quo is Israel's
modus operandi. By replacing Mubarak's dictatorship regime with a
democracy that truly represents the will of the Egyptian people will
cause a change in the balance of power calculus vis-a-vis Israel in a
manner that should convince Israel's leaders that making the
necessary concessions for a final peace with the Palestinians is now
a strategic necessity for Israel's long term security.
Finally,
we should engage other dictators and monarchs in the Arab world and
convince them that supporting genuine democratic reforms is the right
path for long term stability. We should not send our troops to invade
countries but we should send our technocrats to help these countries
politically engineer republics that truly represent the will of the
masses. The Arab people will support us and embrace us if they know
that we have made a clear choice -- supporting their will to empower
themselves rather than supporting arrogant and outdated oppressive
regimes that are doomed to fail.
| Additional articles about Egypt |
|
|
| About the author |
Maher Massis, Ph.D. Middle East Analyst, President, American Education Group LLC. For more information visit http://www.aeg-consulting.com |
| Please Rate This Article |
Number of ratings: 0
Rating: 0